conclusion of the polls in each of the 50 states since january 2008

source for the data and polls: http://www.electoral-vote.com/
calculated and proved for 15092008; 7³°
DP = Democratic Party
RP = Republican Party
EVs = electoral voters

“more” means more than the other party => the winner in each state takes all the EVs of a state

1. State
2. Analysis of the distance between the two parties
3. Classification
4. Decision about EVs

Alabama
RP: 21% more
strong RP
9 EVs for McCain


Alaska
RP: 20,5% more
strong RP
3 EVs for McCain


Arizona
RP: 12,6% more
strong RP
10 EVs for McCain


Arkansas
RP: 16% more
strong RP
6 EVs for McCain


California
DP: 14,3% more
strong DP
55 EVs for Obama


Colorado
DP: 2,3% more
to close to call
9 EVs are to close to decide => swing state


Conneticut
DP: 16,2% more
strong DP
7 EVs for Obama


Delaware
DP: 11,0% more
strong DP
3 EVs for Obama


D.C.
DP: 60% more
strong DP
3 EVs for Obama


Florida
RP: 1,5% more
to close to call
27 EVs are to close to decide => swing state


Georgia
RP: 10,2 % more
strong RP
15 EVs for McCain


Hawaii
DP: 30% more
strong DP
4 EVs for Obama


Idaho
RP: 20% more
strong RP
4 EVs for McCain


Illinois
DP: 19% more
strong DP
21 EVs for Obama


Indiana
RP: 4,6% more
barely RP
11 EVs for McCain


Iowa
DP: 7,7% more
weak DP
7 EVs for Obama


Kansas
RP: 25% more
strong RP
6 EVs for McCain


Kentucky
RP: 19,5% more
strong RP
8 EVs for McCain


Louisiana
RP: 10,71% more
strong RP
9 EVs for McCain


Maine
DP: 10,4% more
strong DP
4 EVs for Obama



Maryland
DP: 13,2% more
strong DP
10 EVs for Obama


Massachusetts
DP: 14,2% more
strong DP
12 EVs for Obama


Michigan
DP: 2,95% more
to close to call
17 EVs are to close to decide = > swing state


Minnesota
DP: 3,1 % more
barely DP
10 EVs for Obama


Mississippi
RP: 13,2% more
strong RP
6 EVs for McCain


Missouri
RP: 4,4% more
barely RP
11 EVs for McCain


Montana
RP: 4,6% more
barely RP
3 EVs for McCain


Nebraska
RP: 20,1% more
strong RP
5 EVs for McCain


Nevada
DP: 0,15% more
to close to call
5 EVs are to close to decide => swing state


New Hampshire
DP: 3,4% more
barely DP
4 EVs for Obama


New Jersey
DP: 8,6% more
weak DP
15 EVs for Obama


New Mexico
DP: 7,4 % more
weak DP
5 EVs for Obama

New York
DP: 18,7% more
strong DP
31 EVs for Obama


North Carolina
RP: 7% more
weak RP
15 EVs for McCain


North Dakota
correction and new classification on 22092008
RP: 6,7 % more
weak RP
3 EVs for McCain


Ohio
DP: 0,95% more
to close to call
20 EVs are to close to decide => swing state


Oklahoma
RP: 25% more
strong RP
7 EVs for McCain


Oregon
DP: 8,3% more
weak DP
7 EVs for Obama


Pennsylvania
DP: 3,2% more
barely DP
21 EVs for Obama


Rhode Island
DP: 23,7% more
strong DP
4 EVs for Obama


South Carolina
RP: 8,3% more
weak RP
8 EVs for McCain


South Dakota
RP: 15,7% more
strong RP
3 EVs for McCain


Tennessee
RP: 15% more
strong RP
11 EVs for McCain


Texas
RP: 9,1% more
weak RP
34 EVs for McCain


Utah
RP: 26,4% more
strong RP
5 EVs for McCain


Vermont
DP: 19,5% more
strong DP
3 EVs for Obama


Virginia
RP: 1,3% more
to close to call
13 EVs are to close to decide => swing state


Washington
DP: 6,8% more
weak DP
11 EVs for Obama


West Virginia
RP: 8,5% more
weak RP
5 EVs for McCain


Wisconsin
DP: 5,1% more
barely DP
10 EVs for Obama


Wyooming
RP: 22% more
strong RP
3 EVs for McCain


situation on 16092008:
45,4 % of the EVs for Obama
18,6 % of the EVs are to close to decide
35,9 % of the EVs for McCain