EVs = electoral voters
forecast on EVs
269 EVs for Obama (DP) = 50 %
69 EVs are to close to decide = 12,8 %
200 EVs for McCain (RP) = 37,20 %
EVs in total: 538; Majority: 270
only one important change: Florida gets from "barely RP" => "to close to call". So McCain losts the 27 EVs of Florida.